Valence vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FCM
4 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAY
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SAE
0 - 0
VAL
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PAU
1 - 1
CAN
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 0
PAU
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
2 - 2
HYE
41%
28%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 1
PAU
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
2 - 0
ALB
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |