Valence vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
VAL
4 - 3
LOR
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
NIO
2 - 0
VAL
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
NAN
2 - 1
VAL
88%
9%
3%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1996 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
VAL
2 - 1
STL
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
GUI
0 - 1
NIC
54%
27%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
NIC
2 - 2
CAE
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
NIC
3 - 1
REN
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |