Valence vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1993 |
LMU
1 - 0
VAL
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
VAL
1 - 0
IST
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1993 |
OLY
2 - 0
VAL
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
NIC
1 - 0
VAL
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1993 |
NIC
1 - 1
NIO
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
REN
1 - 1
NIC
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1993 |
NIC
1 - 0
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
GIR
1 - 0
NIC
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |