Valence vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ROD
2 - 1
VAL
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
FCM
37%
27%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 2
VAL
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
LEP
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 0
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
BEZ
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
NIC
64%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 2
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
HYE
2 - 0
NIC
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 0
PAU
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |