Valence vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1994 |
DUN
2 - 1
VAL
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
VAL
2 - 1
SED
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
STA
1 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
VAL
0 - 0
ANG
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
LMU
1 - 1
VAL
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1994 |
ASN
2 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
CHA
1 - 1
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
ASN
1 - 0
NÎM
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1994 |
ASN
2 - 2
STL
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |