Valence vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
YZE
1 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OLY
0 - 0
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MOA
0 - 1
VAL
17%
22%
62%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 1
BOU
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 2
VAL
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NAN
3 - 2
OLY
23%
25%
53%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 0
MOA
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BOU
3 - 0
NAN
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 2
MOU
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MET
3 - 1
NAN
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |