Valence vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
RAC
0 - 0
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2001 |
CAN
1 - 2
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2000 |
VAL
1 - 0
CLE
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
THO
0 - 5
VAL
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
PAU
2 - 0
VAL
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
MON
1 - 0
SED
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
MON
2 - 0
FCG
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
MON
1 - 2
REN
65%
20%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
GUI
2 - 2
MON
23%
24%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |