Valence vs Monaco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
MON
4 - 0
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
PAU
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 3
BEZ
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
GRE
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
BEZ
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CON
3 - 2
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
GRE
36%
27%
36%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HYE
2 - 0
MON
43%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |