Valence vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 1
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
ROD
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FCM
3 - 1
VAL
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAN
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
LEP
0 - 0
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
BEZ
36%
28%
37%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CON
4 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
GRE
26%
29%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HYE
2 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
PAU
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |