Valence vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FCM
4 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAY
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SAE
0 - 0
VAL
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BEZ
1 - 1
VAL
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAN
21%
27%
53%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
HYE
34%
29%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALB
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |