Valence vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
FCM
1 - 2
VAL
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
VAL
2 - 3
FCG
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
ASB
1 - 0
VAL
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
VAL
0 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
VAL
0 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
LMU
1 - 1
TFC
38%
28%
33%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1995 |
LMU
1 - 1
RED
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
NÎM
1 - 1
LMU
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
GUI
2 - 0
LMU
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1995 |
LMU
0 - 2
DUN
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |