Valence vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 2
SOC
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RAO
2 - 0
VAL
26%
25%
50%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 2
ETG
15%
19%
66%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
STL
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
OLY
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LYO
1 - 3
LYO
7%
18%
75%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LYO
3 - 0
MOA
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BOU
3 - 1
LYO
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LYO
1 - 0
MOU
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |