Valence vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
NIO
2 - 0
VAL
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
NAN
2 - 1
VAL
88%
9%
3%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1996 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
VAL
2 - 1
STL
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
TRO
0 - 1
VAL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 0
TRO
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
MET
2 - 0
LOR
80%
13%
6%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 0
CHA
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
CSL
2 - 2
LOR
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 1
RED
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |