Valence vs Jura Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
LYO
3 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
RAO
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAL
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 1
SAR
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AMN
0 - 0
VAL
32%
25%
44%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Jura Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
JUR
0 - 3
OLY
17%
22%
62%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
JUR
0 - 2
MOA
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 0
JUR
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
JUR
3 - 1
MOU
28%
28%
44%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +4 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
JUR
4 - 1
AMN
27%
25%
49%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |