Valence vs Hyères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
TAR
2 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
ALB
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
HYE
1 - 1
CAN
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
OLY
3 - 1
HYE
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HYE
2 - 1
SAE
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HYE
5 - 0
TAR
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ALB
3 - 0
HYE
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |