Valence vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
AMI
3 - 0
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
VAL
1 - 0
GRE
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
STL
1 - 2
VAL
45%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
VAL
4 - 0
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CLE
1 - 0
VAL
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
FCG
2 - 2
LUS
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 1
FCG
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
FCG
0 - 2
ASS
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ASB
1 - 0
FCG
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FCG
0 - 2
ESW
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |