Valence vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
35%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
TFC
2 - 0
VAL
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
VAL
1 - 2
NIO
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 0
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASB
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1996 |
VAL
4 - 1
CHA
45%
28%
26%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
FCG
1 - 1
RED
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
CSL
1 - 1
FCG
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
FCG
1 - 0
SOC
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
FCM
1 - 2
FCG
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
MET
1 - 2
FCG
73%
19%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +2 |