Valence vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
65.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
STL
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SAR
2 - 1
VAL
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
AMN
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 2
VAL
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DIJ
3 - 1
ETG
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
ETG
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ETG
4 - 2
MPL
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LYO
2 - 1
ETG
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 1
ETG
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |