Valence vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
SED
1 - 1
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
VAL
3 - 1
STA
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
ANG
1 - 0
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1995 |
VAL
1 - 0
LMU
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
FCM
1 - 2
VAL
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
RED
2 - 0
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
DUN
1 - 1
AMI
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
NIO
1 - 0
DUN
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1995 |
DUN
2 - 2
MAR
12%
25%
63%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
OLY
3 - 1
DUN
44%
28%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |