Valence vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 0
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
HYE
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 1
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
ROD
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
BEZ
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
HYE
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CON
4 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 3
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |