Valence vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
FCR
1 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
TRO
0 - 1
VAL
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
VAL
3 - 1
BRC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
CLE
0 - 1
CHA
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 1
CLE
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
CLE
1 - 1
LHA
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 0
CLE
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CLE
2 - 0
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |