Valence vs Charleville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
VAL
3 - 2
RED
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
FCM
1 - 2
VAL
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
VAL
0 - 1
STA
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
AMI
2 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
VAL
2 - 2
FCM
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Charleville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 1
CSL
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
RED
0 - 0
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
CHA
0 - 1
FCM
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
STA
4 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
CHA
0 - 0
AMI
45%
26%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |