Valence vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
ESW
3 - 3
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 2
TFC
28%
29%
44%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
CSL
3 - 2
VAL
46%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
ASB
2 - 2
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 2
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
NIO
0 - 1
FCG
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 1
CAN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
CAE
2 - 1
NIO
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
NIO
4 - 3
LMU
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
NIO
3 - 2
STL
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |