Valence vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1995 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAL
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
VAL
2 - 3
OLY
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
ASN
0 - 0
VAL
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
VAL
0 - 0
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
SED
1 - 1
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
NIO
0 - 0
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
NÎM
3 - 2
NIO
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
NIO
1 - 1
TFC
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 0
NIO
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
NIO
2 - 2
STL
41%
30%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |