Valence vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ANG
0 - 2
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 1
LOR
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
LUS
0 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 0
ASB
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
ASB
0 - 1
CHA
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 2
ESW
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
NIO
4 - 0
CHA
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 1
ASS
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |