Valence vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
26.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1996 |
NIO
5 - 0
VAL
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1996 |
VAL
1 - 0
RED
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 2
VAL
84%
13%
3%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
ASN
2 - 0
VAL
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
VAL
1 - 1
POI
63%
23%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 0
CHA
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1996 |
CHA
0 - 1
NIO
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
DUN
2 - 0
CHA
35%
31%
34%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
PER
1 - 0
CHA
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 1
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |