Valence vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SAE
0 - 0
VAL
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BEZ
1 - 1
VAL
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ROD
4 - 1
VAL
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
COL
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
CAN
26%
26%
47%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
OLY
3 - 0
BAY
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 0
HYE
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TAR
0 - 0
BAY
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 0
ALB
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |