Valence vs Beauvais Oise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
VAL
2 - 1
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
VAL
1 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
VAL
3 - 0
DIJ
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
BRC
0 - 3
VAL
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
VAL
1 - 2
IST
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Beauvais Oise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASB
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
ASB
0 - 0
AJA
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
FCM
0 - 0
ASB
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
ASB
1 - 4
NIO
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 1
ASB
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |