Valence vs Amnéville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 2
VAL
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAN
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
YZE
1 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OLY
0 - 0
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MOA
0 - 1
VAL
17%
22%
62%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Amnéville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AMN
2 - 3
OLY
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AMN
0 - 1
MOA
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 1
AMN
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AMN
1 - 1
MOU
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MET
3 - 2
AMN
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |