Valence vs Marignane Gignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
80.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
11%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MGG
2 - 0
GRA
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MGG
0 - 0
JUR
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
MGG
7%
13%
80%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
LPV
3 - 0
MGG
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SCS
0 - 1
MGG
7%
13%
81%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |