Valdinievole Montecatini vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdinievole Montecatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARG
0 - 1
VMO
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
PON
1 - 1
VMO
62%
21%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
COM
3 - 0
VMO
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VMO
1 - 2
GAV
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
VMO
1 - 0
GHI
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MPO
0 - 2
SAV
21%
26%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MPO
0 - 2
GHI
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
MPO
0 - 3
LIV
10%
20%
71%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 0
MPO
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MPO
1 - 1
GHI
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |