Valdinievole Montecatini vs Fezzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdinievole Montecatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
USR
1 - 0
VMO
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VMO
1 - 0
GHI
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SES
1 - 3
VMO
21%
26%
53%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
VMO
0 - 0
JMO
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VMO
0 - 0
LIG
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 4
SAV
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 1
FEZ
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 1
USR
34%
23%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FEZ
4 - 4
FCV
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 0
GHI
36%
24%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |