Valadares Gaia vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
REB
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 0
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 8 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
VAL
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
ADM
89%
9%
3%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ODO
0 - 2
VAL
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
PEN
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACV
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
PEN
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FEI
2 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 0
LEX
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |