Valadares Gaia vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
13º
13º
35
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ADM
3 - 1
VAL
15%
18%
66%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 3
ODO
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAL
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 2
VAL
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
AMA
20%
28%
52%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
REB
0 - 0
PAR
55%
26%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
VSC
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ADM
1 - 0
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
ODO
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |