Valadares Gaia vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
9º
6º
25
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
CHA
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
OLM
13%
17%
70%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BMA
1 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
CAM
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
BOA
4%
10%
87%
|
17 | 72 | 55 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RES
1 - 2
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
ALV
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
4 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |