Valadares Gaia vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
9º
6º
49
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GON
2 - 2
VAL
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
SAL
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
REB
1 - 0
VAL
20%
24%
57%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALP
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
VAL
9%
15%
76%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 1
CAM
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
LUS
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
LEC
33%
26%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUS
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 2
BMA
33%
26%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |