Vahr-Blockdiek vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
15º
10º
42
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OSC
3 - 1
VAB
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 1
SGA
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VAT
3 - 1
VAB
26%
21%
53%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VAB
3 - 0
BRI
39%
21%
41%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BTN
4 - 3
VAB
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TRB
0 - 2
UNI
61%
19%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 7
WER
11%
17%
72%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 1
UNI
74%
14%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 3
WOL
66%
17%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |