Vahr-Blockdiek vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
15º
10º
19
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TRB
0 - 3
VAB
68%
17%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAB
0 - 9
WER
4%
10%
85%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
OBE
3 - 1
VAB
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VAB
1 - 2
WOL
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
VAB
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 2
TKA
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TKA
1 - 2
TRB
22%
19%
59%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WER
12 - 0
TKA
90%
8%
3%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
4 - 1
TKA
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 5
TKA
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |