Vahr-Blockdiek vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
66%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
16º
16º
15
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
80% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 0
VAB
92%
6%
2%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAB
0 - 3
EHB
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TRB
4 - 0
VAB
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 4
SCH
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LEH
1 - 1
VAB
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
SGA
55%
19%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
OBE
31%
19%
50%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +3 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
4 - 1
GEE
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GEE
5 - 2
OSC
30%
20%
50%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAB
3 - 3
GEE
36%
21%
43%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |