Vahr-Blockdiek vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
42.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
15º
10º
44
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
VAB
0 - 1
OSC
25%
20%
55%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 0
TKA
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TRB
0 - 3
VAB
68%
17%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAB
0 - 9
WER
4%
10%
85%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
OBE
3 - 1
VAB
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SGA
5 - 3
GEE
63%
17%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 2
TKA
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 4
GEE
20%
18%
62%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 1
TRB
38%
21%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BTN
4 - 2
GEE
35%
21%
44%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |