Vahr-Blockdiek vs BTS Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
15º
10º
39
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BLU
4 - 1
VAB
40%
22%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
VAB
3 - 2
LEH
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GEE
3 - 0
VAB
51%
20%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
VAB
13%
17%
70%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 2
TRB
61%
19%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
WER
6 - 0
BTN
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BTN
2 - 3
OBE
16%
17%
67%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 0
BTN
34%
21%
45%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BTN
3 - 2
UNI
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
3 - 3
BTN
9%
14%
77%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | -1 |