Copa Simón Bolívar Last 16
Global 6-4
Vaca Díez vs Oruro Royal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaca Díez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
ORU
2 - 4
VAC
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VAC
3 - 0
SUC
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
SUC
2 - 1
VAC
40%
24%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
SUC
0 - 1
VAC
43%
23%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
VAC
2 - 0
UNI
14%
22%
64%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Oruro Royal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
ORU
2 - 4
VAC
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ORU
0 - 0
ROS
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 13 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ROS
1 - 1
ORU
8%
19%
73%
|
63 | 12 | 51 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ORU
2 - 2
SCA
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ORU
1 - 1
HUA
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |