Vaca Díez vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
15º
16º
43
1º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaca Díez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
VAC
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VAC
1 - 1
ROY
29%
26%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
VAC
1 - 1
REA
21%
25%
55%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
VAC
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAC
2 - 1
SAC
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
OPE
0 - 4
BRA
21%
25%
55%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
AUR
2 - 2
OPE
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
OPE
0 - 1
SAC
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 1
BLO
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 1
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |