Vaca Díez vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
15º
16º
43
1º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaca Díez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
VAC
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VAC
1 - 1
ROY
29%
26%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
VAC
1 - 1
REA
21%
25%
55%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
VAC
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAC
2 - 1
SAC
26%
24%
51%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
OPE
0 - 4
BRA
21%
25%
55%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
AUR
2 - 2
OPE
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
OPE
0 - 1
SAC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 1
BLO
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 1
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |