Vaca Díez vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
51.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
15º
16º
57
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaca Díez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VAC
3 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SAC
2 - 1
VAC
55%
23%
21%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
VAC
0 - 1
DRT
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
CMV
2 - 2
VAC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
VAC
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UDV
2 - 2
BOL
28%
26%
47%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 3
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JWI
3 - 1
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
5 - 0
REA
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |