V-Varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MON
4 - 2
VVA
24%
25%
52%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
YOK
0 - 0
VVA
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VVA
1 - 2
MIT
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 2
VVA
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 6
VVA
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAW
1 - 3
FCY
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCY
1 - 2
VIS
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FCY
3 - 2
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCY
2 - 0
NEW
20%
21%
59%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 2
FCY
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |