V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
VVA
3 - 0
GAM
23%
26%
52%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SHI
0 - 1
VVA
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VVA
2 - 5
FCT
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
VVA
3 - 2
SAG
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
VEG
1 - 0
VVA
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Vissel Kobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FCY
1 - 2
VIS
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
VIS
2 - 3
URA
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GAM
0 - 1
VIS
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SHO
0 - 3
VIS
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
KAR
2 - 1
VIS
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -4 |