V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
GIF
4 - 4
VVA
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
VVA
2 - 1
OIT
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
JEF
5 - 0
VVA
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VVA
0 - 0
MIT
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
VVA
3 - 0
FAG
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
TOK
1 - 2
KYO
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
TOK
3 - 0
JEF
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
KAM
0 - 0
TOK
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
TOK
1 - 1
YOK
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
TOK
2 - 1
ZWE
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |