V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
27.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 0
VVA
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VVA
0 - 0
CON
30%
30%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CER
2 - 0
VVA
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
VVA
1 - 1
MIT
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VVA
1 - 2
YOK
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOK
0 - 1
CER
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
SHO
4 - 0
TOK
11%
22%
67%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
TOK
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GIR
0 - 1
TOK
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TOK
2 - 0
GIR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |