V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VVA
0 - 1
MAT
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
JEF
0 - 2
VVA
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VVA
2 - 0
TOC
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ROA
1 - 0
VVA
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VVA
3 - 0
GIF
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TOK
1 - 1
TOK
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TOK
2 - 0
FAG
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
AVI
1 - 0
TOK
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TOK
1 - 5
GAM
14%
19%
68%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOK
0 - 1
YOK
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |