V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FAG
3 - 0
VVA
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MIT
0 - 1
VVA
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VVA
1 - 3
ROA
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
ZWE
3 - 3
VVA
17%
24%
59%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JEF
0 - 1
VVA
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OMI
3 - 1
TOC
47%
28%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 1
VEG
23%
26%
52%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
YOK
0 - 0
TOC
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 1
THE
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 3
TOC
37%
31%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |